UPDATED: 09-08-25 10:43 PDT

men American 1
  
American              
W-L: ( 5-11) PR = 83.3469

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 A Georgetown Big East ( 9- 8, 88.7) 5-12 211 H Howard (DC) Northeast ( 1-14, 70.5) 18- 7 215 A Loyola (MD) Patriot (13- 6, 92.0) 4-17 219 A George Mason Atlantic 10 ( 7-10, 79.6) 18- 9 222 A UMBC America East (11- 5, 85.0) 10-13 226 H George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 7- 9, 81.4) 13- 7 308 A Liberty Atlantic Sun (12- 7, 86.6) 13-22 311 A UNC-Charlotte AAC ( 6-10, 82.4) 15-14 315 H Lehigh Patriot ( 6-10, 84.1) 17-10 322 A Holy Cross Patriot (10- 8, 88.2) 3-20 326 H Lafayette Patriot ( 6-10, 82.0) 8-10 329 A Colgate Patriot ( 9- 8, 85.6) 11-17 405 H Army Patriot (13- 3, 89.5) 13-16 411 A Bucknell Patriot ( 6-10, 84.1) 9-11 419 H Boston University Patriot ( 8- 8, 85.1) 5-12 424 H Navy Patriot (15- 5, 91.2) 5-17

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 A Georgetown              5-12      -7    -6           0.00
   211 H Howard (DC)            18- 7      11    13           0.00
   215 A Loyola (MD)             4-17     -13    -9           0.00
   219 A George Mason           18- 9       9     3           1.70
   222 A UMBC                   10-13      -3    -2          -0.92
   226 H George Washington      13- 7       6     2    +      2.62
   308 A Liberty                13-22      -9    -4          -1.30
   311 A UNC-Charlotte          15-14       1     0           0.53
   315 H Lehigh                 17-10       7     0    ++     5.25
   322 A Holy Cross              3-20     -17    -5           0.00
   326 H Lafayette               8-10      -2     2    -     -3.80
   329 A Colgate                11-17      -6    -3    -     -2.25
   405 H Army                   13-16      -3    -6    +      2.00
   411 A Bucknell                9-11      -2    -1          -0.74
   419 H Boston University       5-12      -7    -1    -     -3.75
   424 H Navy                    5-17     -12    -7           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Lafayette               8-10      -2     2    -     -3.80
   329 A Colgate                11-17      -6    -3    -     -2.25
   419 H Boston University       5-12      -7    -1    -     -3.75

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 H Lehigh                 17-10       7     0    ++     5.25
   226 H George Washington      13- 7       6     2    +      2.62
   405 H Army                   13-16      -3    -6    +      2.00

American Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Akron American tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) American
Albany Albany Albany   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Arizona State Arizona State   Arizona State
Army Army Army  
Binghamton Binghamton tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Binghamton
Boston College Boston College Boston College   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Boston University Boston University Boston University  
Brown Brown insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Brown
Bryant Bryant tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Bryant
Bucknell Bucknell Bucknell  
Butler American tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) American
California California tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) California
Campbell American insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) American
Canisius American   American
Central Connecticut American tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) American
Central Michigan American   American
Cincinnati Cincinnati tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cincinnati
Clemson Clemson   Clemson
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Coastal Carolina
Colgate Colgate Colgate  
Colorado Colorado insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Colorado
Columbia Columbia tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Columbia
Connecticut Connecticut insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Connecticut
Cornell Cornell insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cornell
Dartmouth Dartmouth   Dartmouth
Davidson Davidson tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Davidson
Delaware Delaware insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Delaware
Delaware State American insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) American
Denver Denver insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Denver
Detroit Mercy American   American
Drexel Drexel   Drexel
Duke Duke   Duke
Duquesne American insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) American
East Carolina East Carolina tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) East Carolina
Eastern Michigan American   American
Elon Elon   Elon
Fairfield Fairfield insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Fairfield
Fairleigh Dickinson American insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) American
Florida Florida Florida   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Furman Furman tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Furman
Gardner Webb American American   2- 0 vs 0- 2
George Mason American American  
George Washington American American  
Georgetown Georgetown Georgetown  
Harvard Harvard Harvard   2- 0 vs 0- 2
High Point High Point tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) High Point
Hofstra Hofstra   Hofstra
Holy Cross Holy Cross Holy Cross  
Howard (DC) American American  
Iona American insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) American
Jacksonville Jacksonville Jacksonville   2- 0 vs 0- 2
James Madison James Madison James Madison   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Johns Hopkins Johns Hopkins insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Johns Hopkins
Kennesaw State American tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) American
Kent State American insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) American
La Salle American American   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Lafayette Lafayette Lafayette  
Le Moyne American tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) American
Lehigh American American  
Liberty Liberty Liberty  
Lindenwood American insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) American
LIU American tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) American
Longwood American insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) American
Louisville Louisville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Louisville
Loyola (MD) Loyola (MD) Loyola (MD)  
Manhattan American   American
Marist American tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) American
Marquette Marquette tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Marquette
Maryland Maryland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Maryland
Massachusetts Massachusetts insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Massachusetts
Massachusetts-Lowell Massachusetts-Lowell insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Massachusetts-Lowell
Mercer Mercer   Mercer
Mercyhurst American tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) American
Merrimack American tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) American
Michigan Michigan   Michigan
Monmouth (NJ) American tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) American
Mount St Marys Mount St Marys insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Mount St Marys
Navy Navy Navy  
New Hampshire American tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) American
Niagara American   American
North Carolina North Carolina insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) North Carolina
Northwestern Northwestern   Northwestern
Notre Dame Notre Dame   Notre Dame
Ohio State Ohio State   Ohio State
Old Dominion American insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) American
Oregon Oregon   Oregon
Penn Penn insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Penn
Penn State Penn State insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Penn State
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Pittsburgh
Presbyterian American   American
Princeton Princeton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Princeton
Queens American tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) American
Quinnipiac American insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) American
Radford American American   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Rhode Island American tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) American
Richmond Richmond tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Richmond
Rider American tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) American
Robert Morris American insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) American
Rutgers Rutgers tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rutgers
Sacred Heart American tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) American
San Diego State San Diego State   San Diego State
Siena Siena tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Siena
South Florida South Florida insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) South Florida
Southern California Southern California   Southern California
St Bonaventure St Bonaventure tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) St Bonaventure
St Francis American insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) American
St Josephs (PA) St Josephs (PA) tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) St Josephs (PA)
Stanford Stanford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Stanford
Stetson American tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) American
Stonehill American tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) American
Stony Brook Stony Brook   Stony Brook
Syracuse Syracuse insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Syracuse
Temple Temple tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Temple
Towson Towson insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Towson
UC Davis UC Davis   UC Davis
UMBC UMBC UMBC  
UNC-Charlotte American American  
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Vanderbilt
VCU VCU tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) VCU
Vermont Vermont insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Vermont
Villanova Villanova Villanova   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Virginia Virginia insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Virginia
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech   Virginia Tech
Wagner American tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) American
William & Mary William & Mary insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) William & Mary
Winthrop American insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) American
Wofford American   American
Xavier American tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) American
Yale Yale   Yale
Youngstown State American   American

PowerWise = 49


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.82

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Georgetown      ( 9- 8, 88.7)     5-12      -11.25      19.31       0.46         1.05           -11.34
   0 H Howard (DC)     ( 1-14, 70.5)    18- 7      -29.41       1.15      -0.46         1.05             0.72
   0 A Loyola (MD)     (13- 6, 92.0)     4-17       -7.88      22.68       0.46         1.05            -7.80
   0 A George Mason    ( 7-10, 79.6)    18- 9      -20.31      10.24       0.46         1.05            11.26
   0 A UMBC            (11- 5, 85.0)    10-13      -14.94      15.62       0.46         1.05           -15.22
   0 H George Washing  ( 7- 9, 81.4)    13- 7      -18.47      12.09      -0.46         1.05            12.23
   0 A Liberty         (12- 7, 86.6)    13-22      -13.31      17.24       0.46         1.05           -13.51
   0 A UNC-Charlotte   ( 6-10, 82.4)    15-14      -17.48      13.07       0.46         1.05            14.23
   0 H Lehigh          ( 6-10, 84.1)    17-10      -15.84      14.71      -0.46         1.05            14.99
   0 A Holy Cross      (10- 8, 88.2)     3-20      -11.75      18.81       0.46         1.05           -11.87
   0 H Lafayette       ( 6-10, 82.0)     8-10      -17.89      12.67      -0.46         1.05           -19.30
   0 A Colgate         ( 9- 8, 85.6)    11-17      -14.27      16.29       0.46         1.05           -14.52
   0 H Army            (13- 3, 89.5)    13-16      -10.44      20.12      -0.46         1.05           -11.46
   0 A Bucknell        ( 6-10, 84.1)     9-11      -15.76      14.80       0.46         1.05           -16.08
   0 H Boston Univers  ( 8- 8, 85.1)     5-12      -14.84      15.72      -0.46         1.05           -16.09
   0 H Navy            (15- 5, 91.2)     5-17       -8.73      21.82      -0.46         1.05            -9.67
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -93.43

winning pts = 53.4243 losing points = -146.8580

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------